A Stanford antibody study estimated that COVID-19 had infected 50 to 85 times more people than those testing positive in Santa Clara County. Thus, in the initial case fatality rates, the share of infected people who have died from the disease, was reduced from 3% to 1%. The World Health Organization (WHO) had originally estimated that the case-fatality rate was 3.4%. 

Based on the seroprevalence data (the level of a pathogen in a population, as measured in the blood serum), the researchers estimated that in Santa Clara County the true infection fatality rate is somewhere in the range of 0.12% to 0.2%— far closer to seasonal influenza than to the extremely exaggerated, positive case-based estimates.

This study implies that many more people were exposed to some strain of “coronavirus”, perhaps SARS-CoV before COVID-19 arrived on the scene. 

“If one assumes that the number of asymptomatic or minimally symptomatic cases is several times as high as the number of reported cases, the case fatality rate may be considerably less than 1%. This suggests that the overall clinical consequences of COVID-19 may ultimately be more akin to those of a severe seasonal influenza (which has a case fatality rate of 0.1%) or a pandemic influenza (similar to those in 1957 and 1968) rather than a disease like SARS or MERS, which had a case fatality rate of 9-10% and 36% respectively.” 

Positively Good News

This is positively good news as it means that a large percentage of the human population has developed antibodies, therefore immunity for COVID-19, and are not demonstrating any symptoms (i.e., asymptomatic). There is no rush for a mandatory vaccine if herd or natural immunity is already being developed. 

The CDC quietly changed its guidance to now say that asymptomatic people do not need to be tested for coronavirus, even if they have been in close contact with an infected person.

They made the move by updating its website, but did not make any public announcement or explain the reasoning behind the major revision. The guidance now states: “If you have been in close contact (within 6 feet) of a person with a COVID-19 infection for at least 15 minutes but do not have symptoms: You do not necessarily need a test unless you are a vulnerable individual or your health care provider or State or local public health officials recommend you take one.”

A study of almost 10 million people in Wuhan, China, found that asymptomatic spread of COVID-19 did not occur at all, thus undermining the need for lockdowns, which are built on the premise of the virus being unwittingly spread by infectious, asymptomatic people.


  1. KTLA | True infection fatality rate closer to the seasonal influenza.
  2. Citation Needed | New England Journal of Medicine (March 15, 2020).
  3. The Hill | CDC says asymptomatic people don’t need testing, draws criticism from experts.
  4. Life Site News | Asymptomatic transmission of COVID-19 didn’t occur at all, study of 10 million finds.

Source: Dawning of the Corona Age: Navigating the Pandemic by Johnny Freedom, p.58-59